Predicting future jobs is a mug’s game

29 Jun 2016
Dr Adamson discusses employment trends and key changes

UQ economics researcher Dr David Adamson discusses employment trends and key changes in the job market in a recent post for UQ’s blog Small Change.

Anyone who has dealt with predicting the future knows it’s a mug's game.  You will be wrong.

So let’s have a look at what has occurred over the past 10 years, as a foundation for some wild guesses about the future. There are two critical things when analysing data. The net change (total number) and the per cent change. The first tells you which is the dominant area, and the per cent change tells you which is experiencing the greatest change in the total number of jobs over time.

Continue reading Dr Adamson’s Small Change blog post

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