Cyclical Patterns of Business Entry and Exist Dynamics in the US Economy
Date | Thursday 25 February 2016 |
Venue | Room 116 Sir Llew Edwards Building |
Time | 2:00 pm |
Speaker |
Can Tian Shanghai University of Finance and Economics |
Abstract
This paper documents the cyclical patterns of business entry and exist dynamism in the US using the Business Dynamic statistics (BDS). The main message is that, for both firms and establishments, the entry margin is significantly procyclical while the exist margin shows little cyclicality. In addition to the entry and exist rates, the numbers and relative sizes of entrants and exits exhibit similar patterns over the business cycles. I then examine the roles of size, age, and sector in shaping the observed cyclicality, or lack thereof, and find significant variation across different groups.