427. Monetary policy, asset prices and the real economy in China

James Laurenceson & Ceara Hui, School of Economics Discussion Paper No. 427 May 2010, School of Economics, The University of Queensland. Australia.

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Abstract

The Global Financial Crisis served to refocus attention on the potential for monetary policy to exert an impact on asset prices. In turn, asset price fluctuations were shown to exert a powerful impact on the real economy. In this paper we consider these linkages in the case of China. Using SVAR modelling techniques, our results indicate that a monetary policy shock has a significant impact on asset prices, particularly share prices, and notably more so than on general goods and services prices. However, a shock to asset prices has little impact on the real economy. Policy implications are discussed.